Career Explorer Transport and logistics

Human edge, growing

Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers

Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

74
AI Resistance Index 74 of 99

More resilient than most: more resilient than 74% of the 831 careers we score. AI exposure is low (the Bureau of Labor Statistics rates it moderate), and US jobs are projected to change by +3.8% by 2035, faster than average. The work leans on ethical judgement.

AI struggles with much of this work, and US employers are expected to hire more people into it than average.

Median pay (2025)
$58,640
Job growth to 2035
+3.8%
Openings a year
214,000
People doing it (2025)
2.2 million
Usual route in
College certificate, then short on-the-job training

Where people already use AI for this work

  • Read documents or materials to inform work processes
  • Connect components or supply lines to equipment or tools
  • Examine materials or documentation for accuracy or compliance

From Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025).

Work AI rarely helps with

  • Operate transportation equipment or vehicles
  • Load products, materials, or equipment for transportation or further processing
  • Maintain vehicles in working condition

What the work looks like

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.
  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.
  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.
  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.
  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

From O*NET 31.0, US Department of Labor.

What the Bureau of Labor Statistics expects

  • More of these jobs, as more drivers are needed to deliver components and materials to construction sites.
  • Fewer of these jobs, as the industry adopts autonomous vehicles such as hauling trucks.

Careers using similar strengths, with a stronger outlook

Also known as: Driver, Line Haul Driver, Over the Road Driver (OTR Driver), Truck Driver, CDL Driver (Commercial Driver's License Driver), Log Truck Driver, Production Truck Driver, Road Driver.

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Sources: US Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2025 to 2035; O*NET 31.0; Microsoft Research (2025); Anthropic Economic Index (2026); Eloundou and colleagues (Science, 2024); Felten, Raj and Seamans (2023). How we score. Updated 12 October 2026.