Career Explorer Transport and logistics
Changing shape
First-line supervisors of transportation and material moving workers, except aircraft cargo handling supervisors
Changing faster than most: more resilient than 31% of the 831 careers we score. AI exposure is high (the Bureau of Labor Statistics rates it high), and US jobs are projected to change by +3.0% by 2035, slower than average. The work leans on ethical judgement and physical dexterity.
AI can do many of the tasks, and hiring is expected to grow slower than average or to shrink. The job is likely to change, so build the human parts of it.
- Median pay (2025)
- $62,890
- Job growth to 2035
- +3.0%
- Openings a year
- 54,900
- People doing it (2025)
- 622,000
- Usual route in
- High school diploma
Where people already use AI for this work
- Explain regulations, policies, or procedures
- Advise others on business or operational matters
- Plan work activities
From Microsoft Research, Working with AI (2025).
Work AI rarely helps with
- Direct organizational operations, activities, or procedures
- Resolve personnel or operational problems
- Maintain operational records
What the Bureau of Labor Statistics expects
- Fewer of these jobs, as the increasing use of automation technologies reduces demand for manual labor, and therefore supervisors.
- Fewer of these jobs, as the increasing use of automation technologies in warehouses reduces demand for manual labor, and therefore supervisors.
Careers using similar strengths, with a stronger outlook
- Transportation workers, all otherHuman edge, growing, Index 83, +4.0%
- Rail transportation workers, all otherHuman edge, growing, Index 80, +4.4%
- Motor vehicle operators, all otherHuman edge, steady, Index 75, +2.8%
- Material moving workers, all otherHuman edge, steady, Index 72, +2.7%
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Sources: US Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2025 to 2035; O*NET 31.0; Microsoft Research (2025); Anthropic Economic Index (2026); Eloundou and colleagues (Science, 2024); Felten, Raj and Seamans (2023). How we score. Updated 12 October 2026.